- Filings arrive ahead of start of football season
- Certain to intensify competition with sportsbooks
- Contracts will go live unless CFTC blocks move or requests 90-day review period
In a move certain to that ratchet up competition with sportsbook operators, Kalshi filed to offer football event contracts that are essentially bets on spreads and totals as well as player propositions.

The prediction markets firm filed three documents Monday with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), its federal regulator, to offer derivatives contracts that closely resemble some of the most popular pregame wagers football bettors embrace. Those contracts are as follows: Will <game> have <over/under> <count> points in <time period> of <game>, Will <team> win <game> by <above/below/between/exactly/at least> <count>points? and Will <player/team> score <first/last/any/count> touchdown(s) in <time_period>of <game>?
As of this writing, the contracts arenât showing on Kalshiâs football menus, but the filings indicate those bets could imminently appear on the platform provided the CFTC doesnât object or seek a 90-day review period. Timing is of the essence because college footballâs week zero commences this weekend with some marquee games, and the 2025 NFL season starts on Thursday, September 4.
Kalshi Upping Competition with Sportsbooks
Despite mounting state-level legal tussles that have largely centered around its offering of sports event contracts, Kalshi (and other prediction firms) has argued that those derivatives arenât comparable to traditional sports wagers.
Gaming industry observers and regulators take issue with Kalshiâs point of view on the matter. To date, the exchangeâs yes/no sports offerings have been largely akin to moneyline bets, but the foray into player props, sides, and totals represents the prediction market operatorâs boldest encroachment yet into territory long controlled by traditional sportsbooks. The Kalshi filings with the CFTC indicate the firm will offer the new derivatives in its standard yes/no fashion.
If the Market Outcome is âYes,â meaning that an event occurs that is encompassed within the Payout Criterion, then the long position holders are paid an absolute amount proportional to the size of their position and the short position holders receive no payment,â according to one of the CFTC filings. âIf the Market Outcome is âNo,â then the short position holders are paid an absolute amount proportional to the size of their position and the long position holders receive no payment.â
Critics are apt to say Kalshi can dress up these derivatives as yes/no contracts, but that doesnât obfuscate a deeper push into the world of sports betting.
Prediction Markets Hardly Treading Lightly
Football is the most wagered-on sport in the US. Companies such as Kalshi know as much, and it appears theyâre looking to the 2025 football season as a potential inflection point â one that could expand their revenue streams while increasing competition with old-guard gaming companies.
Signs to that effect abound. In addition to Kalshiâs expanded slate of football contracts, Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) â a Kalshi partner â said Tuesday itâs bringing football prediction markets to its approved derivatives clients.
In some circles, thereâs talk that sports parlays â high hold bets for gaming companies â are among the next logical steps for prediction markets. Should that scenario play out, it would extend the competition with standard betting firms and likely compel some of those operators to venture into prediction markets.
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